Friday, October 7, 2011

Week 5 NFL Predictions - Experts vs a Four-Year-Old

We're four weeks into our little experiment of picking football games against a 4-year-old.  What have we learned?

  • JDaddy and I are terrible at this.  I'm kind of glad we decided to pick against the kid.  Otherwise it would be like watching two Sun Belt lightweights fight it out for the conference championship.  Somebody has to win, but it's not fun to watch.
  • All you need to do to pick games is go to and figure out which logo you like better.
  • If the 4-year-old had been able to control his gambling habit in Week 3 he would be 29-16-3 on the year.
Over the long term you would expect that a random picking of football games against the line would result in a .500 record.  Maybe that will turn out to be true after Week 17, but it's been fun to count up the record each week, my record notwithstanding.

Here are the records through Week 4:

Last Week
JDaddy: 9-7
CDog: 6-10
4-Year-Old: 11-5

JDaddy: 28-33-3
CDog: 29-32-3
4-Year-Old: 33-28-3

Will the start of the bye weeks throw the kid off his game?  Probably not, but I can hope.

Week 5 Picks

GameJDaddyCDog4 Year Old
Kansas City (+2) at IndianapolisIndianapolisIndianapolisIndianapolis
Arizona (+2.5) at MinnesotaArizonaArizonaArizona
Philadelphia (-3) at BuffaloBuffaloBuffaloBuffalo
Oakland (+6) at HoustonOaklandHoustonHouston
New Orleans (-6.5) at CarolinaNew OrleansCarolinaNew Orleans
Cincinnati (+2) at JacksonvilleCincinnatiJacksonvilleCincinnati
Tennessee (+3) at PittsburghPittsburghPittsburghTennessee
Seattle (+10) at NY GiantsNY GiantsSeattleNY Giants
Tampa Bay (+3) at San FranciscoTampa BayTampa BaySan Francisco
NY Jets (+9) at New EnglandNew EnglandNew EnglandNY Jets
San Diego (-4) at DenverSan DiegoSan DiegoDenver
Green Bay (-6) at AtlantaGreen BayAtlantaAtlanta
Chicago (+5) at DetroitChicagoChicagoChicago

I think it's perfectly clear who you should place money on in Week 5 of the 2011 NFL season.
  • Tennessee
  • New York Giants
  • San Francisco
  • New York Jets
  • Denver Broncos
Those are the five teams the kid picked to win after JDaddy and I both picked against them.  


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